It’s Just a Simple Equation

July 2, 2012

I remember my grandfather being in a nearly constant state of panic that one of us would become injured in his home. He wasn’t frenetic, or even anxious, really. His was more of a sedentary panic — a sofa panic. It’s similar to normal panic, but not strong enough to motivate its victims to do anything more active than yell.

Yes, it’s possible and even likely that he was more “annoyed” than he was “panicked”. In his defense, many dangerous acts performed by children involve obnoxious movement and shrieking. It’s also true, though, that most potentially catastrophic activities are done quietly: poison drinking, match lighting, experimenting with archery. I’m sure that had my grandfather seen me silently reach over my shoulder to pull an arrow from my quiver, load my bow, and struggle to aim it away from my face, he would have yelled just as loudly as he did when my reckless dancing obstructed his view of the television.

As a father of two boys myself, I not only understand sofa panic, I’m also stricken with it. I find it difficult to balance my children’s physical safety requirements with my own desire to occasionally remain motionless. Yesterday, as I was lying in the hammock, Silas climbed the ladder on our decaying play set and began scooting across the top of the monkey bars on his butt. I’ve witnessed him have success with this, so even though it looked harrowing, I was 95% sure he would be fine. That 5% chance of disaster nagged at me enough that I yelled, “Careful up there!” which, of course, served no other purpose except to relieve me of some stress, and possibly distract him just enough to cause a slip-up. Had I noticed him having any real difficulty, I would have focused in and prepared to launch myself if needed. There’s an equation I believe all parents use (albeit subconsciously) to determine whether they’re needed in situations like this. Think of it as a Pythagorean Theorem for caregivers.

(LI x SI)/CSC = KC

LI stands for “Likelihood of Injury” Scale – 1 to 100

SI is “Severity of Injury”  Scale – 1 to 20

CSC is the parent’s “Current State of Comfort” Scale – 1 to 100

KC stands for “Kinetic Concern” which is a variable I’ve created to measure the degree to which a parent is willing to expend energy in order to help his or her children. Anything above 1.0 should cause the caregiver to go into motion.

Let’s use yesterday’s monkey bar scooting situation as an example. There was a very low likelihood of injury (LI), combined with an elevated severity of injury (SI) and current state of comfort (CSC). It looked like this.

(5 x 14)/95 = 0.74

With a kinetic concern (KC) score of less than 1.0, it was perfectly reasonable for me to exhibit only hammock panic. But what if the monkey bars had been higher off the ground, and I was sitting on a chair instead of lying in a hammock? The likelihood of injury (LI) would remain the same, but with an increased severity of injury (SI) coupled with a decreased current state of comfort (CSC), the kinetic concern (KC) value would be  much higher.

(5 x 17)/55 = 1.55

This is a clear call to action, and everyone knows it.

There is one frightening and common situation in which this equation fails us: when our children are out of our sight and very quiet. I’m not good at algebra, but here’s what that equation might look like.

If LI and SI are both unknown, and only CSC is observable, can we still solve for KC? Let’s try.

(LI x SI)/75 = SYNTAX ERROR – VC Required!

Don’t panic. According to Dr. Spock, VC is an acronym for “Verbal Confirmation”. In this case, the course of action is still relatively simple: Yell, “It’s awfuly quiet down there. Is everything OK?” If you don’t receive a verbal confirmation (VC) after three attempts, assume LI  is over 80 and SI is at least 18. This means that even with a CSC  of 100, the KC will be over 1, so you should leap off the toilet and make sure the kids aren’t in the gross part of the basement playing with the bow and arrow your grandfather gave you.

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